Time Series Momentum 252

How this strategy trades, what it scored, and the measurements the score was read from: every symbol and timeframe, on real and resampled history.

How It Trades

  1. Measure the trailing 252-bar (12-month) return: the classic academic time-series momentum window.
  2. Stay long while that return is positive.
  3. Exit when it turns negative, and stay out until it recovers.

Example Strategy

Pine Script

Paste it into TradingView’s Pine Editor to run these rules on any chart.

//@version=6
// Time Series Momentum 252 — sort.finance. Fills at the signal bar's close, 0.02% fee a side,
// whole account per trade, as the backtest. History and indicator warm-up
// differ from the site's, so expect close to the same trades, not identical.
strategy("Time Series Momentum 252", overlay=false,
     initial_capital=100, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity,
     default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent,
     commission_value=0.02, process_orders_on_close=true, pyramiding=0)

// The bar the current position opened on, and the bar the last one closed on.
var int entryBar = na
var int exitBar = -1

// ── Signals ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
momentum = (close / close[252] - 1) * 100
above = momentum > 0
enterNow = above and not above[1]
exitNow = not above and above[1]

// ── Orders ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Open on the first bar the entry holds while flat; close on the first
// later bar the exit holds; never reopen on the bar a position closed.
inTrade = strategy.position_size != 0
if inTrade and bar_index > entryBar and exitNow
    strategy.close("Long")
    exitBar := bar_index
else if not inTrade and bar_index > exitBar and enterNow
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
    entryBar := bar_index

// ── Drawing ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
plot(momentum, "Momentum", color=#4d8dff)
hline(0, "Zero", color=color.new(#8a92a0, 40), linestyle=hline.style_dashed)