Skip Month Momentum

How this strategy trades, what it scored, and the measurements the score was read from — every symbol and timeframe, on real and resampled history.

  1. Measure the trailing 252-bar (12-month) return, but end the measurement 21 bars (one month) ago — the most recent month is skipped because it statistically tends to reverse.
  2. Stay long while that skip-month return is positive.
  3. Exit when it turns negative, and stay out until it is positive again.
Score
Total Score Mean Of Real And Resampled 49 / 100
Real Data 46 / 100
Resampled Data 52 / 100
Overall Rank Top 45% 23 of 52
Rank In Momentum Top 40% 4 of 10
Score By Metric
Beats Hold Real 28 · Resampled 51 40 / 100
Risk Adjusted Real 45 · Resampled 45 45 / 100
Profitability Real 50 · Resampled 53 51 / 100
Win Rate Real 67 · Resampled 67 67 / 100
Fee Efficiency Real 65 · Resampled 65 65 / 100

Scores

The six scores the total is made of, one dataset at a time: how each stood as the run went on, and where each of them ended.

Source Metrics

The numbers those scores are read from, one dataset at a time: every trade as it happened, and where the run ended.