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How It Works
- Compute three weighted moving averages over 20, 50 and 200 bars — the same trio as the long stack, read from the other side.
- Sell short when they stack bearishly — fast below mid below slow. The 200-bar anchor means the short is only taken once the downtrend is established on every horizon.
- Buy back (cover) when the fast average climbs back above the mid.
Worked example. WMA20 = 95 drops under WMA50 = 95.8 while both already sit below WMA200 = 102 — the bearish stack aligns, so the strategy sells short at 95. Price slides to 84 before WMA20 turns back above WMA50, where the short is covered for roughly an 11% gain.
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The Math Behind The Indicators
Everything runs on closing prices of the traded timeframe: P is a close, Pt today's close, and N counts bars — one bar is one candle of that timeframe, so 20 bars on a 1h chart is 20 hours.
- Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
- A moving average where newer prices count more: the latest close gets weight N, the one before N − 1, down to weight 1 for the oldest. That makes it react to a turn in price sooner than a plain average.
- WMAN = (N · Pt + (N-1) · Pt-1 + … + 1 · Pt-N+1) / (N + (N-1) + … + 1)
- Example: With N = 3 and closes 100, 102, 104 (oldest to newest): (1·100 + 2·102 + 3·104) / (1 + 2 + 3) = 616 / 6 ≈ 102.67 — pulled closer to the latest price than the plain average of 102.
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Example Chart
Example Chart
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Real Data
15/ 100Composite scoreMetrics Per Trade
Final Metrics
Scores
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